Готовый, Набор, Будущее! Введение в тесты по мышлению о будущем & Ответы — Курсера

Explore the visionary research of будущее мышление through engaging quizzes and expert answers in the Готовый, Набор, Будущее! курс. Discover the transformative power of anticipating and shaping the future through strategic foresight and innovative мышление. These quizzes serve as a gateway to understanding the principles and methods of будущее мышление, from scenario planning to trend analysis.

Whether you are a futurist looking to improve your strategic planning skills or a curious mind wanting to explore the possibilities of tomorrow, this collection offers valuable insights into managing uncertainty and envisioning alternative futures. Join us on a journey of foresight and imagination as we delve into the world of будущее мышление, opening up opportunities for proactive decision-making and creative problem-solving in an ever-changing world.

викторина 1: What is futures thinking?

Q1. TRUE OR FALSE: The main goal of futures thinking is to get better at accurately predicting the future.

• Правда
• Ложь

2 квартал. TRUE OR FALSE: According to a global scientific study, most people say YES, if it were possible, I would like to know what will happen in my own future – for example, the cause of my death, or whether my marriage will end in divorce.

• истинный
• ЛОЖЬ

3 квартал. According to Alvin Toffler, author of FUTURE SHOCK, “When it comes to thinking about the future, it’s more important to be WHAT than to be right?»

• It’s more important to be IMAGINATIVE than to be right.
• It’s more important to be FAST than to be right.
• It’s more important to be READY than to be right.

4 квартал. Professional futurists often say: “There are no WHAT about the future?»

• There are no FACTS about the future.
• There are no RULES about the future.
• There are no WORRIES about the future.
• There are no BAD IDEAS about the future.

Q5. You’ve finished your first week of futures thinking training – congratulations! What’s the single most important thing YOU would teach someone else, if you were trying to explain futures thinking to someone who had never heard about it? (This is a chance for you to reflect and offer your own personal answer. There is no wrong answer! Use this question as an opportunity to reach your own “aha” insight.)

Что вы думаете?
Your answer cannot be more than 10000 символы.

викторина 2: When does the future start?

Q1. In how many years does the future start, according to professional futurists?

викторина 3: What are the seven benefits of futures thinking?

Q1. Is creativity one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

2 квартал. Is foresight one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

3 квартал. Is empathy one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

4 квартал. Is practical skepticism one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Q5. Is strategy one of the seven strengths you will build by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Q6. Is hope one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Q7. Is smarter investing one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Q8. Is talent spotting one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Q9. Is accurate prediction one of the seven strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Q10. Is mental flexibility one of the strengths you will develop by practicing futures thinking?

• да
• нет

Неделю 2: Готовый, Набор, Будущее! Introduction to Futures Thinking Quiz Answers

викторина 1: What’s a signal of change?

Q1. This week, you learned about signals of change. Which of these are accurate descriptions of signals of change? Выберите все, что подходит.

• They are the “raw ingredients” or “building blocks” of futures thinking.
• They are clues to how the future might be different.
• They are real things, happening now, в реальном мире.
• They are always a new technology or a scientific innovation.

викторина 2: Future of Work – Signals of Change

Q1. This week, you read a report about the Future of Work in the year 2030. This quiz is about some of the SIGNALS OF CHANGE described in the report.

The computer vision research team at the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence recently released a collaborative game. In the game, a human and an AI take turns drawing scenes that the other can understand and identify correctly. The goal of the game is to improve human-AI communication. What kind of CHANGE is this a SIGNAL of?

• AI is becoming more collaborative with humans.
• AI is becoming more likely to replace humans at work.

2 квартал. Etch is a new blockchain-based payroll system that automatically pays wages to workers in real-time. Instead of waiting for a check every two weeks or 30 days for an invoice to be paid, Etch gets you your wages the second you earn them. Или же, as they say: “You can buy lunch with the money you earned at work that morning.” What kind of CHANGE is this a SIGNAL of?

• Secure distributed ledgers like blockchain will make it easier for people to get paid right away for work in the future, increasing their economic security.
• Secure distributed ledgers like blockchain will make it more complicated to pay people in the future, creating new stress for employers.

3 квартал. A new kind of technology called “ultra-haptics” will allow people to interact with machines without touching them. One signal in this field is an ATM (cash withdrawal machine) that you can operate without touching any buttons. You simply wave your hands in the air. What kind of CHANGE is this a SIGNAL of?

• Interacting with machines will be more dangerous in the future, especially at work.
• Interacting with machines will be safer and cleaner in the future, especially in spaces where many different people interact with the same machines.

4 квартал. Interplay Learning is an online learning platform that uses Virtual Reality and 3D simulations to train workers in new skills. Workers can access 100s of hours of lessons anywhere, в любой момент. What kind of SIGNAL of CHANGE is this?

• В будущем, workers will have fewer opportunities to learn new skills at work.
• В будущем, online learning and workplace learning is likely to be more immersive and simulation-based. It may incorporate Virtual Reality and Augmented Reality into every learning experience. The majority of Coursera courses could be VR and AR based by 2030!

Q5. Which of these signals of change do you personally find most interesting, or think is most likely to impact YOU in the future? (There is no right or wrong answer to this question. Use it as a chance to reflect on what you read!)

• The AI/human collaborative drawing game
• Etch, the instant payroll platform
• Ultrahaptics “no touch” interfaces
• Interplay Learning by VR and 3D simulation

Неделю 3: Готовый, Набор, Будущее! Introduction to Futures Thinking Quiz Answers

викторина 1: Who invented futures thinking, и почему?

Q1. When was the Institute for the Future founded?

• 1960s
• 1970s
• 1980s
• 1990s

2 квартал. What was the primary reason for the creation of the Institute for the Future?

• To help companies maximize profit and grow faster.
• To deal with the accelerating rate and scale of change in society, and to help society learn how to control those forces of change.
• To create the conditions for peace globally.

3 квартал. Which is the best description of the method of futures thinking that Institute for the Future proposed to create and teach to others?

• Explore multiple alternative futures, analyze the comparative risks and benefits of each, and devise strategies and action plans for increasing the probability of the most desired futures
• Describe multiple possible futures, rate each future for their likelihood and probability of actually happening, and propose investments and business strategies to maximize profit and growth based on those probabilities
• Identify the worst-case and best-case scenario futures, and help leaders prepare for both possibilities

4 квартал. The prospectus for Institute for the Future says that it will be “imaginative by design.” What does this mean?

• It will encourage a wide range of writers, ученые, philosophers, художники, engineers and social innovators to contribute their creative vision and unique point of view about what they believe could be possible in the future.
• It will not be concerned with “evidence” but will rely mainly on intuition.

Неделю 4: Готовый, Набор, Будущее! Introduction to Futures Thinking Quiz Answers

викторина 1: Can you identify the four types of futures thinking?

Q1. This type of futures thinking is the first step in any new futures project. It asks the question: How might the world be different in the next 10 лет? It looks for evidence of changes already happening today and helps us anticipate what’s coming next.

• Forecasting skills
• Simulation skills
• Collaborative gaming skills
• Action skills

2 квартал. This type of futures thinking helps you immerse yourself in possible futures. It challenges you to feel and experience the future before it happens. The goal is to help you decide which futures you want to make more likely, which futures you want to prevent, and what actions you can take to thrive and succeed in any given future.

• Forecasting skills
• Simulation skills
• Collaborative gaming skills
• Action skills

3 квартал. This type of futures thinking is designed to help you avoid blindspots when it comes to the future. It lets you see the future from many diverse points of view. It helps you work with others to uncover the hardest-to-anticipate consequences and ripple effects of change.

• Forecasting skills
• Simulation skills
• Collaborative gaming skills
• Action skills

4 квартал. This type of futures thinking helps you strategize about what you can do today to make the future you want more likely, and the futures you don’t want less likely.

• Forecasting skills
• Simulation skills
• Collaborative gaming skills
• Action skills

Q5. Which of these types of futures thinking are you personally most excited to learn and practice? There is no right or wrong answer to this question. Use it as an opportunity to reflect on what you’ve learned this week!

• Forecasting skills
• Simulation skills
• Collaborative gaming skills
• Urgent optimism / Action skills